StatSheet Projects Northwestern as NCAA Tournament Bubble Team Eight Seed: 02/10/2012

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 10th, 2012
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet projects Northwestern on the bubble for the NCAA Tournament with potentially an eight seed. The Wildcats are #41 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 15-8 overall record and a 5-6 record in the Big Ten.

During the last four games, Northwestern registered a quality win against RPI #38 Illinois and wins against Iowa and Nebraska but also dropped one against RPI #58 Purdue.

Northwestern is sub-par against strong competition, with a 4-8 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 3-6 record against the RPI Top 50 and a 1-5 record against AP ranked teams. The Wildcats boast three quality wins including RPI #38 Illinois, AP #11 Michigan State, and RPI #32 Seton Hall with no bad losses.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Purdue (15-9, 5-6 Big Ten, StatRank #57), Brigham Young (20-6, 8-3 West Coast, StatRank #42), Arkansas (16-8, 4-5 SEC, StatRank #65), and Texas (15-9, 5-6 Big 12, StatRank #55).

The first four teams out are Colorado (16-8, 8-4 Pac 12, StatRank #71), Minnesota (17-8, 5-7 Big Ten, StatRank #69), Ole Miss (14-9, 4-5 SEC, StatRank #68), and Oregon (17-7, 8-4 Pac 12, StatRank #70).

The next four out are Arizona (17-8, 8-4 Pac 12, StatRank #64), Pittsburgh (15-10, 4-8 Big East, StatRank #67), St. Joseph's (PA) (15-10, 5-5 A-10, StatRank #48), and Xavier (16-8, 7-3 A-10, StatRank #61).

Regional 1
#1Kentucky
#2Baylor
#3Duke
#4Florida State
#5Michigan
#6Indiana
#7Connecticut
#8Alabama
#9Harvard
#10Colorado State
#11California
#12MTSU
#13Arkansas
#14Akron
#15Bucknell
#16Long Island
#17MVSU
Regional 2
#1Missouri
#2Florida
#3Georgetown
#4Marquette
#5Murray State
#6Louisville
#7Creighton
#8Gonzaga
#9Seton Hall
#10Illinois
#11Iowa State
#12New Mexico
#13Brigham Young
#14Iona
#15Davidson
#16Mercer
#17Norfolk State
Regional 3
#1Ohio State
#2Kansas
#3Michigan State
#4UNLV
#5Virginia
#6Mississippi State
#7Temple
#8Miami (FL)
#9West Virginia
#10Memphis
#11Kansas State
#12NC State
#13Long Beach State
#14Nevada
#15Drexel
#16Texas-Arlington
#17UNCA
Regional 4
#1Syracuse
#2North Carolina
#3Southern Miss
#4San Diego State
#5Wisconsin
#6Saint Mary's
#7Vanderbilt
#8Northwestern
#9Wichita State
#10Notre Dame
#11Saint Louis
#12Oral Roberts
#13Texas
#14Purdue
#15Weber State
#16Valparaiso
#17Stony Brook

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big Ten8 1266.7%
Big East8 1650.0%
ACC6 1250.0%
Big 126 1060.0%
SEC6 1250.0%
Mountain West4 850.0%
West Coast3 933.3%
A-102 1414.3%
Missouri Valley2 1020.0%
C-USA2 1216.7%
Southland1 128.3%
Big South1 119.1%
MEAC1 137.7%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Horizon1 1010.0%
Pac 121 128.3%
Patriot1 812.5%
WAC1 812.5%
America East1 911.1%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Summit League1 1010.0%
Big Sky1 911.1%
CAA1 128.3%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
MAC1 128.3%
MAAC1 1010.0%
SoCon1 128.3%
NEC1 128.3%
Big West1 911.1%

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Big Ten Standings

OverallConf
1 Ohio State 31-8 13-5
1 Michigan State 29-8 13-5
1 Michigan 24-10 13-5
4 Wisconsin 26-10 12-6
5 Indiana 27-9 11-7
6 Purdue 22-13 10-8
 7Northwestern 19-14 8-10
7 Iowa 18-17 8-10
9 Minnesota 23-15 6-12
9 Illinois 17-15 6-12
11 Nebraska 12-18 4-14
11 Penn State 12-20 4-14
Last updated: Apr 7th, 2012

2011-2012 Roster

#45 Nikola Cerina Jr F 6-9 245
#23 JerShon Cobb So G 6-5 205
#1 Drew Crawford Jr G/F 6-5 210
#30 Davide Curletti Sr F 6-9 230
#14 Tre Demps Fr G 6-2 195
#15 Nick Fruendt Sr G 6-5 205
#11 Reggie Hearn Jr G 6-4 210
#2 Omar Jimenez Fr G 6-1 185
#4 A. Marcotullio Jr G 6-3 180
#12 Luka Mirkovic Sr C 6-11 245
#13 J. Montgomery III So G 6-4 185
#24 John Shurna Sr F 6-9 215
#3 Dave Sobolewski Fr G 6-1 185
#0 Mike Turner Fr F 6-8 205